Japan flag

Suzuka

Japan / / Updated Sep 24, 2023

Worth Watching

3.4

The 2023 Japanese Grand Prix was a largely processional affair defined more by early-lap untidiness than sustained on-track action. While the race started with a frantic and crowded run into the first corner that triggered an immediate safety car for debris, the competitive tension dissipated quickly once the field settled into a rhythm. With only one lead change and a relatively low volume of overtakes for a 53-lap event, the narrative became one of managing gaps rather than active wheel-to-wheel duels. The mid-race provided some minor strategic intrigue as teams grappled with high tire degradation in the sunshine, leading to a few experiments with one-stop versus two-stop strategies. There was also a notable amount of attrition, with five cars failing to reach the finish due to various incidents and technical issues, though these retirements rarely disrupted the established order at the front. Ultimately, unless you are a completionist or a fan of clinical, dominant performances and pit-wall chess, this race lacked the drama and unpredictability expected from the iconic Suzuka circuit.

The detailed analysis below contains spoilers about specific drivers, incidents, and results.

Show Spoilers

Race Analysis

Team Variety

10.0 +0.80

The results showcased a healthy mix of the grid's top performers, with five different manufacturers populating the top ten. Red Bull took the win, followed by a double podium for a resurgent McLaren, while Ferrari, Mercedes, and Alpine all secured double-points finishes. This variety underlined the competitive hierarchy behind Verstappen, with Aston Martin's Fernando Alonso also figuring in the points.

Dnf Factor

10.0 +0.60

This was a race of extreme attrition with five drivers failing to finish, the highest number of retirements since the Australian Grand Prix. Sergio Perez had a disastrous afternoon involving multiple collisions and penalties before retiring twice, while Valtteri Bottas was forced out after being spun by Logan Sargeant. Williams suffered a double DNF as both Albon and Sargeant retired with damage, and Lance Stroll withdrew due to a rear wing failure.

Race Interruptions

5.0 +0.55

The race saw instant disruption when the Safety Car was deployed on the very first lap to clear debris following a multi-car tangled involving Valtteri Bottas, Alex Albon, and Esteban Ocon. A later Virtual Safety Car was triggered on lap 14 to allow marshals to remove more debris from the track. These interruptions played a vital role in the strategic battle, particularly for Oscar Piastri, who gained a significant time advantage by pitting exactly as the VSC was deployed.

Overtakes Top10

3.8 +0.38

While Max Verstappen was untouchable at the front, the battle for the remaining points positions was intense and physical. Mercedes provided much of the entertainment as Lewis Hamilton and George Russell went wheel-to-wheel at spoon curve and again later in the race, while Charles Leclerc executed a stunning move around the outside of Russell at Turn 1. The closing laps saw Russell's one-stop strategy crumble, allowing Hamilton and Carlos Sainz to overtake him in the final stages.

Tyre Strategy Variety

5.0 +0.30

Strategy was split between those favoring a standard two-stop and George Russell’s bold attempt at a one-stop marathon. Most of the field started on Mediums, but those further back like the Alpines and AlphaTauris utilized Softs to gain early ground. Russell’s gamble to stay out while others pitted a second time initially put him in a podium position, but his aging tires eventually left him defenseless against the two-stoppers.

Unique Tyre Compounds

5.0 +0.30

The race was primarily dominated by the Medium and Hard compounds due to the high energy loads and abrasive surface of the Suzuka circuit. While the Soft compound was used for short bursts at the start and by the AlphaTauri drivers, it suffered from extremely high degradation in the sweltering heat. Most of the front-runners transitioned to the Hard tire for their final stints to ensure they could reach the checkered flag.

Overtakes Total

3.3 +0.19

The total number of overtakes was relatively low for the season, largely because the high-speed nature of Suzuka makes following closely through the Esses very difficult. Much of the movement in the standings occurred during the pit stop phases or was necessitated by the high rate of car damage in the midfield. However, the overtakes that did occur were high-quality, such as Hamilton’s brave move on Alonso at 130R.

Grid Chaos

1.4 +0.18

The grid was largely orderly until the lights went out, though Logan Sargeant was forced to start from the pit lane following a heavy qualifying crash that required a chassis change. The real chaos began the moment the race started, as the squeeze into Turn 1 caused contact between several cars in the midfield, effectively ruining the races of Bottas and Albon before the first lap was completed.

Top3 Gap

0.7 +0.07

Max Verstappen’s dominance was absolute, crossing the line nearly 20 seconds ahead of Lando Norris. The gap back to third-place Oscar Piastri was even more substantial at over 36 seconds, highlighting the gulf in class between the Red Bull and the rest of the field. This massive margin allowed Red Bull to secure the Constructors' Championship with six races still remaining in the season.

Ai Assessment

0.0 +0.00

This race serves as a perfect microcosm of the 2023 season, blending a historic team achievement with a predictable individual result. While the midfield provided plenty of drama and the McLaren resurgence was a feel-good story for rookie Oscar Piastri, Verstappen's uncontested lead meant there was little tension regarding the eventual winner. The high attrition rate added a layer of unpredictability, but it was a race defined more by management than by a battle for the lead.

Rain Factor

0.0 +0.00

Weather conditions remained consistently dry throughout the weekend at Suzuka. Instead of rain, the primary meteorological challenge was the sweltering heat and high track temperatures, which accelerated tire wear and forced teams into more conservative strategies. There was no threat of precipitation to disrupt the high-speed flow of the Japanese circuit.

Score Breakdown

Dim Val Scr Wt + Avg

Team Variety

4.0 10.0 0.08 +0.8 +13%

Dnf Factor

5.0 10.0 0.06 +0.6 +122%

Race Interruptions

2.0 5.0 0.11 +0.55 +62%

Overtakes Top10

14.0 3.78 0.10 +0.38 -27%

Tyre Strategy Variety

2.0 5.0 0.06 +0.3 -21%

Unique Tyre Compounds

1.0 5.0 0.06 +0.3 -9%

Overtakes Total

25.0 3.25 0.06 +0.19 -47%

Grid Chaos

11.0 1.4 0.13 +0.18 -64%

Top3 Gap

19.4 0.74 0.09 +0.07 -87%

Ai Assessment

0.0 0.14 +0.0 -100%

Rain Factor

N 0.0 0.11 +0.0 -100%

Driver Results

Pos Driver Tyre Strategy
1
Max VERSTAPPEN
Max VERSTAPPEN
Red Bull Racing / Finished
MMH
2
Lando NORRIS
Lando NORRIS
McLaren / Finished
MHH
3
Oscar PIASTRI
Oscar PIASTRI
McLaren / Finished
MHH
4
Charles LECLERC
Charles LECLERC
Ferrari / Finished
MMH
5
Lewis HAMILTON
Lewis HAMILTON
Mercedes / Finished
MHH
6
Carlos SAINZ
Carlos SAINZ
Ferrari / Finished
MMH
7
George RUSSELL
George RUSSELL
Mercedes / Finished
MH
8
Fernando ALONSO
Fernando ALONSO
Aston Martin / Finished
SHH
9
Esteban OCON
Esteban OCON
Alpine / Finished
MHH
10
Pierre GASLY
Pierre GASLY
Alpine / Finished
MHH
11
Liam LAWSON
Liam LAWSON
AlphaTauri / Finished
SMH
12
Yuki TSUNODA
Yuki TSUNODA
AlphaTauri / Finished
SMH
13
ZHOU Guanyu
ZHOU Guanyu
Alfa Romeo / Finished
SSSH
14
Nico HULKENBERG
Nico HULKENBERG
Haas F1 Team / Finished
SMHM
15
Kevin MAGNUSSEN
Kevin MAGNUSSEN
Haas F1 Team / Finished
MHH
16
Alexander ALBON
Alexander ALBON
Williams / DNF
MMS
17
Logan SARGEANT
Logan SARGEANT
Williams / DNF
MMMH
18
Lance STROLL
Lance STROLL
Aston Martin / DNF
SM
19
Sergio PEREZ
Sergio PEREZ
Red Bull Racing / DNF
MHSSS
20
Valtteri BOTTAS
Valtteri BOTTAS
Alfa Romeo / DNF
SSH

Driver Standings

Pos Driver Pts Wins
1
Max Verstappen
Max Verstappen
Red Bull
400 13
2
Sergio Pérez
Sergio Pérez
Red Bull
223 2
3
Lewis Hamilton
Lewis Hamilton
Mercedes
190 0
4
Fernando Alonso
Fernando Alonso
Aston Martin
174 0
5
Carlos Sainz
Carlos Sainz
Ferrari
150 1
6
Charles Leclerc
Charles Leclerc
Ferrari
135 0
7
Lando Norris
Lando Norris
McLaren
115 0
8
George Russell
George Russell
Mercedes
115 0
9
Oscar Piastri
Oscar Piastri
McLaren
57 0
10
Lance Stroll
Lance Stroll
Aston Martin
47 0
11
Pierre Gasly
Pierre Gasly
Alpine F1 Team
46 0
12
Esteban Ocon
Esteban Ocon
Alpine F1 Team
38 0
13
Alexander Albon
Alexander Albon
Williams
21 0
14
Nico Hülkenberg
Nico Hülkenberg
Haas F1 Team
9 0
15
Valtteri Bottas
Valtteri Bottas
Alfa Romeo
6 0
16
Guanyu Zhou
Guanyu Zhou
Alfa Romeo
4 0
17
Yuki Tsunoda
Yuki Tsunoda
AlphaTauri
3 0
18
Kevin Magnussen
Kevin Magnussen
Haas F1 Team
3 0
19
Liam Lawson
Liam Lawson
AlphaTauri
2 0
20
Logan Sargeant
Logan Sargeant
Williams
0 0
21
Nyck de Vries
Nyck de Vries
AlphaTauri
0 0
22
Daniel Ricciardo
Daniel Ricciardo
AlphaTauri
0 0

Constructor Standings

Pos Team Pts Wins
1
Red Bull
Red Bull
623 15
2
Mercedes
Mercedes
305 0
3
Ferrari
Ferrari
285 1
4
Aston Martin
Aston Martin
221 0
5
McLaren
McLaren
172 0
6
Alpine F1 Team
Alpine F1 Team
84 0
7
Williams
Williams
21 0
8
Haas F1 Team
Haas F1 Team
12 0
9
Alfa Romeo
Alfa Romeo
10 0
10
AlphaTauri
AlphaTauri
5 0